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USA vs. China in Technology = China's AI Response Time Significantly Faster vs. Internet 1995
BondCap · transition
USA vs. China in Technology = China's AI Response Time Significantly Faster vs. Internet 1995
AI Large Language Model (LLM) Leadership = USA & China Outpacing Rest of World (RoW), per Epoch AI
BondCap · market_landscape
AI Large Language Model (LLM) Leadership = USA & China Outpacing Rest of World (RoW), per Epoch AI
China AI = Rapid Relevance… DeepSeek R1 – 1/20/25…
BondCap · case_study
China AI = Rapid Relevance… DeepSeek R1 – 1/20/25…
...China AI = Rapid Relevance... Alibaba Qwen 2.5-Max – 1/29/25...
BondCap · case_study
...China AI = Rapid Relevance... Alibaba Qwen 2.5-Max – 1/29/25...
...China AI = Rapid Relevance... Baidu Ernie 4.5 Turbo – 4/25/25
BondCap · case_study
...China AI = Rapid Relevance... Baidu Ernie 4.5 Turbo – 4/25/25
0.2% — Cost per million tokens
China AI = LLM Performance Catching Up to USA Models, per Stanford HAI...
BondCap · market_landscape
China AI = LLM Performance Catching Up to USA Models, per Stanford HAI...
1,362 — LMSYS Chatbot Arena Score
...China AI = LLMs Achieving Performance with Lower Training Costs, per Epoch AI...
BondCap · market_landscape
...China AI = LLMs Achieving Performance with Lower Training Costs, per Epoch AI...
$40M — Training cost
...China AI = LLMs Increasingly Powered by Local Semiconductors...
BondCap · case_study
...China AI = LLMs Increasingly Powered by Local Semiconductors...
...China AI = Industrial Robot Installed Base Higher vs. Rest of World...
BondCap · market_landscape
...China AI = Industrial Robot Installed Base Higher vs. Rest of World...
276 — Number of industrial robots installed
...China AI = Industrial Robot Installed Base Higher vs. Rest of World
BondCap · market_landscape
...China AI = Industrial Robot Installed Base Higher vs. Rest of World
Robots – Industrial & Humanoid = Creating New Data @ New Scale
BondCap · other
Robots – Industrial & Humanoid = Creating New Data @ New Scale
China Consumer AI Usage = DeepSeek Rose Quickly
BondCap · transition
China Consumer AI Usage = DeepSeek Rose Quickly
China Consumer AI Usage = DeepSeek Rose Quickly
BondCap · market_landscape
China Consumer AI Usage = DeepSeek Rose Quickly
+294% — Monthly active users
LLM User Share – Desktop Users = OpenAI ChatGPT Leads…DeepSeek Rose Quickly, per YipitData…
BondCap · market_landscape
LLM User Share – Desktop Users = OpenAI ChatGPT Leads…DeepSeek Rose Quickly, per YipitData…
...LLM User Share – Mobile App Users = OpenAI ChatGPT Leads...DeepSeek Rose Quickly, per Sensor Tower...
BondCap · market_landscape
...LLM User Share – Mobile App Users = OpenAI ChatGPT Leads...DeepSeek Rose Quickly, per Sensor Tower...
...LLM User Share – Mobile App Downloads + Users = ChatGPT Supporting Strong Momentum...
BondCap · data_table
...LLM User Share – Mobile App Downloads + Users = ChatGPT Supporting Strong Momentum...
530MM — MAUs
...LLM User Share – Query Volume = OpenAI ChatGPT Leads, per Google
BondCap · market_landscape
...LLM User Share – Query Volume = OpenAI ChatGPT Leads, per Google
1,200M — Global Daily Queries
China AI Users = Using Local AI Platforms, per Roland Berger Consulting
BondCap · market_landscape
China AI Users = Using Local AI Platforms, per Roland Berger Consulting
AI Benefits vs. Drawbacks – China vs. USA Citizens = China Materially More Optimistic Regarding Benefits
BondCap · industry_trends
AI Benefits vs. Drawbacks – China vs. USA Citizens = China Materially More Optimistic Regarding Benefits
AI & Physical World Ramps = Fast + Data-Driven
BondCap · key_messages
AI & Physical World Ramps = Fast + Data-Driven
Physical World AI – Vertically-Integrated Electric Vehicles (Tesla) = ~100x Increase in Fully Self-Driven Miles Over Thirty-Three Months
BondCap · case_study
Physical World AI – Vertically-Integrated Electric Vehicles (Tesla) = ~100x Increase in Fully Self-Driven Miles Over Thirty-Three Months
~100x — Cumulative Fully Self-Driven Miles
Physical World AI – Fully-Autonomous Vehicles (Waymo) = 0% to 27% Share of San Francisco Rideshares Over Twenty Months, per YipitData
BondCap · case_study
Physical World AI – Fully-Autonomous Vehicles (Waymo) = 0% to 27% Share of San Francisco Rideshares Over Twenty Months, per YipitData
27% — Market Share
Physical World AI –Vehicle Intelligence (Applied Intuition) = Serving Automotive, Trucking, Construction & Defense
BondCap · case_study
Physical World AI –Vehicle Intelligence (Applied Intuition) = Serving Automotive, Trucking, Construction & Defense
18 — Number of Top Auto OEMs Served
Physical World AI – USA Defense (Anduril) = +2x Y/Y Revenue Growth for Last Two Years
BondCap · case_study
Physical World AI – USA Defense (Anduril) = +2x Y/Y Revenue Growth for Last Two Years
$1,000 — Annual Revenue
Physical World AI = AI-Driven Mining Exploration (KoBold Metals) = Reversing Trend in Exploration Inefficiency
BondCap · case_study
Physical World AI = AI-Driven Mining Exploration (KoBold Metals) = Reversing Trend in Exploration Inefficiency
15 — Mineral Deposit Discoveries per $B of Exploration Spend
Physical World AI – Agricultural Modernization (Carbon Robotics) = 230K+ Acres Weeded / 100K+ Gallons of Glyphosate Prevented
BondCap · case_study
Physical World AI – Agricultural Modernization (Carbon Robotics) = 230K+ Acres Weeded / 100K+ Gallons of Glyphosate Prevented
230K+ — Cumulative Fleet Acres Weeded
Physical World AI – Intelligent Grazing (Halter) = +150% Net-New Livestock Collars Contracted Y/Y
BondCap · case_study
Physical World AI – Intelligent Grazing (Halter) = +150% Net-New Livestock Collars Contracted Y/Y
+150% — Net New Collars Contracted
Global Internet User Ramps Powered by AI from Get-Go = Growth We Have Not Seen Likes of Before
BondCap · key_messages
Global Internet User Ramps Powered by AI from Get-Go = Growth We Have Not Seen Likes of Before
2.6B — unconnected population
Global Internet Users = Epic Growth Over Past Thirty-Three Years, per ITU
BondCap · industry_trends
Global Internet Users = Epic Growth Over Past Thirty-Three Years, per ITU
5B+ — Internet Users
Global Internet Penetration = 68% vs. 16% Nineteen Years Ago, per ITU
BondCap · context
Global Internet Penetration = 68% vs. 16% Nineteen Years Ago, per ITU
68% — Global Internet Penetration
Global Internet Penetration by Region @ +70% = All Regions Except South Asia + Sub-Saharan Africa, per ITU
BondCap · market_landscape
Global Internet Penetration by Region @ +70% = All Regions Except South Asia + Sub-Saharan Africa, per ITU
70% — Internet Penetration
Global Internet Penetration by Population Density = 83% of Urban Dwellers Online vs. 48% Rural
BondCap · industry_trends
Global Internet Penetration by Population Density = 83% of Urban Dwellers Online vs. 48% Rural
83% — Internet Penetration
Global Internet Users @ 5.5B = +6% Y/Y & Accelerating, per ITU
BondCap · industry_trends
Global Internet Users @ 5.5B = +6% Y/Y & Accelerating, per ITU
5.5B — Internet Users
ChatGPT Mobile App @ 530MM MAUs in Twenty-Three Months = Global Growth We Have Not Seen Likes Of Before
BondCap · market_landscape
ChatGPT Mobile App @ 530MM MAUs in Twenty-Three Months = Global Growth We Have Not Seen Likes Of Before
530MM — Monthly Active Users (MAUs)
ChatGPT Mobile App – Top User Countries = India @ 14%...USA @ 9%...Indonesia @ 6%, per Sensor Tower
BondCap · market_landscape
ChatGPT Mobile App – Top User Countries = India @ 14%...USA @ 9%...Indonesia @ 6%, per Sensor Tower
13.5% — Monthly Active Users
DeepSeek Mobile App @ 54MM MAUs in Four Months = Growth Concentrated in China (34% Users) & Russia (9%)
BondCap · market_landscape
DeepSeek Mobile App @ 54MM MAUs in Four Months = Growth Concentrated in China (34% Users) & Russia (9%)
54MM — Monthly Active Users (MAUs)
New Internet User Growth = Enabled by AI + Satellites
BondCap · section_divider
New Internet User Growth = Enabled by AI + Satellites
Orbital / Satellite Launch Market Share, Global = SpaceX Rising
BondCap · market_landscape
Orbital / Satellite Launch Market Share, Global = SpaceX Rising
SpaceX Starlink @ 5MM+ Subscribers = +202% Annual Growth Over 3.2 Years
BondCap · case_study
SpaceX Starlink @ 5MM+ Subscribers = +202% Annual Growth Over 3.2 Years
5MM+ — Subscribers
SpaceX Starlink Ecosystem = Coverage Expanding Globally
BondCap · geographic_map
SpaceX Starlink Ecosystem = Coverage Expanding Globally
Starlink = Unlocking Previously-Inaccessible Internet Access in AI Era
BondCap · case_study
Starlink = Unlocking Previously-Inaccessible Internet Access in AI Era
AI & Work Evolution = Real + Rapid
BondCap · key_messages
AI & Work Evolution = Real + Rapid
AI Impact on Business = Diverse & Broad
BondCap · industry_trends
AI Impact on Business = Diverse & Broad
Reflexive AI Usage Is Now a Baseline Expectation...
BondCap · quote_slide
Reflexive AI Usage Is Now a Baseline Expectation...
Duolingo Is Going to be AI-First
BondCap · quote_slide
Duolingo Is Going to be AI-First
AI Adoption @ USA Firms = Rising...
BondCap · industry_trends
AI Adoption @ USA Firms = Rising...
...AI Adoption @ USA Firms = +21% Q/Q @ ~7% of Companies (Q1:25)
BondCap · industry_trends
...AI Adoption @ USA Firms = +21% Q/Q @ ~7% of Companies (Q1:25)
+21% — Change in share of firms using AI
AI Impact on Workforce = Employers Adopting AI to Drive Productivity Improvements
BondCap · industry_trends
AI Impact on Workforce = Employers Adopting AI to Drive Productivity Improvements
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