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Historically, APAC (incl. SEA) and SEA-6 emissions have grown at ~2%–3% and ~3%–4% p.a. respectively; SEA-6 emissions intensity has been higher vs. APAC
Bain · 2025 · data_table
Historically, APAC (incl. SEA) and SEA-6 emissions have grown at ~2%–3% and ~3%–4% p.a. respectively; SEA-6 emissions intensity has been higher vs. APAC
24.3 — GHG emissions
 SEA-6 have yet to start bending the emissions curve, unlike China or the EU
Bain · 2025 · industry_trends
SEA-6 have yet to start bending the emissions curve, unlike China or the EU
 New realities challenge and complicate any efforts to increase near-term actions
Bain · 2025 · problem_statement
New realities challenge and complicate any efforts to increase near-term actions
 New headwinds cloud the climate outlook, but the stormy present could brighten the outlook for SEA’s green transition
Bain · 2025 · framework_other
New headwinds cloud the climate outlook, but the stormy present could brighten the outlook for SEA’s green transition
 Governments and corporations are reordering priorities in this new political and economic climate
Bain · 2025 · industry_trends
Governments and corporations are reordering priorities in this new political and economic climate
 Despite headwinds, the green economy can still drive SEA growth and competitiveness, as it has for neighbors
Bain · 2025 · peer_benchmark
Despite headwinds, the green economy can still drive SEA growth and competitiveness, as it has for neighbors
~$300B — potential economic gain
 SEA will need to overcome structural constraints that have hindered past efforts
Bain · 2025 · problem_statement
SEA will need to overcome structural constraints that have hindered past efforts
 Leveraging a strong foundation in regional partnership can help SEA and wider APAC overcome constraints with innovative solutions for both regions' benefit
Bain · 2025 · other
Leveraging a strong foundation in regional partnership can help SEA and wider APAC overcome constraints with innovative solutions for both regions' benefit
$186B — Economic impact
 New pathways to accelerate decarbonization and the green economy may lie in often underappreciated connections between Asia-Pacific and SEA as partners
Bain · 2025 · key_messages
New pathways to accelerate decarbonization and the green economy may lie in often underappreciated connections between Asia-Pacific and SEA as partners
40% — FDI contribution
 Asia-Pacific and SEA both rely heavily on imported energy, which is a serious concern for energy security
Bain · 2025 · data_table
Asia-Pacific and SEA both rely heavily on imported energy, which is a serious concern for energy security
$289bn — Value of net imports
 Asia-Pacific is a key trading partner for SEA (~45% of trade)
Bain · 2025 · market_landscape
Asia-Pacific is a key trading partner for SEA (~45% of trade)
$3.2T — Total trade value
 Key Asia-Pacific economies contribute ~40% of SEA's FDI, shaping infrastructure, technology, and energy investments
Bain · 2025 · market_landscape
Key Asia-Pacific economies contribute ~40% of SEA's FDI, shaping infrastructure, technology, and energy investments
194 — FDI inflows
 Strategic linkages to advance decarbonization already exist across SEA and Asia-Pacific
Bain · 2025 · context
Strategic linkages to advance decarbonization already exist across SEA and Asia-Pacific
63% — Global market share
 China, as a leading global clean tech manufacturing player, is expanding green investments in SEA to tap into SEA's resources and markets
Bain · 2025 · market_landscape
China, as a leading global clean tech manufacturing player, is expanding green investments in SEA to tap into SEA's resources and markets
97% — Regional share of manufacturing capacity
 Japan launched the Asia Zero Emission Community as a platform for green investment in SEA
Bain · 2025 · case_study
Japan launched the Asia Zero Emission Community as a platform for green investment in SEA
68 — Number of AZEC agreements
 Key APAC green industries have abundant capacity; new policies needed to allow SEA to benefit from affordable imports while creating jobs/industry
Bain · 2025 · market_landscape
Key APAC green industries have abundant capacity; new policies needed to allow SEA to benefit from affordable imports while creating jobs/industry
 Southeast Asia’s green economy is a set of linked systems, where changes in one area can impact others
Bain · 2025 · process_diagram
Southeast Asia’s green economy is a set of linked systems, where changes in one area can impact others
 High-impact systems-level solutions should optimize across two key outcomes
Bain · 2025 · framework_other
High-impact systems-level solutions should optimize across two key outcomes
 From an emissions lens, Agriculture & Nature, Power, and Transport are the biggest contributors to SEA emissions (~65%)
Bain · 2025 · market_landscape
From an emissions lens, Agriculture & Nature, Power, and Transport are the biggest contributors to SEA emissions (~65%)
~3.3GtCO2e — GHG emissions
 An alternative economic lens shows Agriculture & Nature, Transport, and Power directly contribute ~20% to SEA-6 GDP
Bain · 2025 · financial_analysis
An alternative economic lens shows Agriculture & Nature, Transport, and Power directly contribute ~20% to SEA-6 GDP
~$3,450 billion — GDP value-added
 At the same time, Agriculture & Nature account for a large share of jobs and livelihoods in most economies; ~33% of SEA-6 employment comes from the sector
Bain · 2025 · market_landscape
At the same time, Agriculture & Nature account for a large share of jobs and livelihoods in most economies; ~33% of SEA-6 employment comes from the sector
33% — Employment share
 Analyzing interconnected systems is key to identifying systemic barriers and high-impact systems-level solutions to accelerate SEA decarbonization
Bain · 2025 · framework_other
Analyzing interconnected systems is key to identifying systemic barriers and high-impact systems-level solutions to accelerate SEA decarbonization
 This report dives deep into three systems-level solutions for SEA: sustainable bioeconomy, next-gen grid development, and EV ecosystem
Bain · 2025 · section_divider
This report dives deep into three systems-level solutions for SEA: sustainable bioeconomy, next-gen grid development, and EV ecosystem
 It further acknowledges the key enabling solutions: climate & transition finance, carbon markets, and green AI
Bain · 2025 · context
It further acknowledges the key enabling solutions: climate & transition finance, carbon markets, and green AI
 Prioritized systems-level solutions can enable SEA to close ~50% of the gap to 2030 targets
Bain · 2025 · impact_sizing
Prioritized systems-level solutions can enable SEA to close ~50% of the gap to 2030 targets
~50% — MtCO2e
 Actioning prioritized solutions could create ~$120 billion in new value from green economy and generate ~900,000 jobs annually by 2030 for SEA
Bain · 2025 · impact_sizing
Actioning prioritized solutions could create ~$120 billion in new value from green economy and generate ~900,000 jobs annually by 2030 for SEA
$120 billion — GDP contribution and job creation
 Bioeconomy is a critical part of the SEA economy
Bain · 2025 · industry_trends
Bioeconomy is a critical part of the SEA economy
86% — Global production share
 SEA’s bioeconomy practices contribute heavily to emissions and deforestation
Bain · 2025 · diagnosis
SEA’s bioeconomy practices contribute heavily to emissions and deforestation
~1,000 — MtCO2e
 Significant room to improve efficiency across value chains in SEA's bioeconomy
Bain · 2025 · diagnosis
Significant room to improve efficiency across value chains in SEA's bioeconomy
~50% — Crop yield efficiency
 Key systemic barriers cause high emissions and prevent bioeconomy from reaching its full economic potential
Bain · 2025 · pain_points
Key systemic barriers cause high emissions and prevent bioeconomy from reaching its full economic potential
 Systems-level solution | Scaling sustainable bioeconomy utilization to increase economic value and reduce emissions
Bain · 2025 · process_diagram
Systems-level solution | Scaling sustainable bioeconomy utilization to increase economic value and reduce emissions
$40 billion — Economic value add
 Enhance farmer productivity | Opportunities exist to enhance productivity of SHFs along end-to-end value chain via high-impact solutions
Bain · 2025 · value_chain
Enhance farmer productivity | Opportunities exist to enhance productivity of SHFs along end-to-end value chain via high-impact solutions
 Expand nature-based solutions | SEA-6 NBS credit issuance represents 1% of estimated mitigation potential, indicating a vast untapped opportunity
Bain · 2025 · market_landscape
Expand nature-based solutions | SEA-6 NBS credit issuance represents 1% of estimated mitigation potential, indicating a vast untapped opportunity
720+ MtCO2e — Annual mitigation potential
 Accelerating biofuels | SEA is positioned to be a leading 2G supplier on the back of global trend towards 2G; several factors need to align to realize full potential
Bain · 2025 · strategic_options
Accelerating biofuels | SEA is positioned to be a leading 2G supplier on the back of global trend towards 2G; several factors need to align to realize full potential
340 — Global biofuel supply
 Investable ideas | Attractive options exist across multiple areas of bioeconomy
Bain · 2025 · comparison_table
Investable ideas | Attractive options exist across multiple areas of bioeconomy
$30 — Market size ($ billion, 2030F)
 Recommendations | Key steps for all stakeholders to accelerate SEA's bioeconomy
Bain · 2025 · recommendation
Recommendations | Key steps for all stakeholders to accelerate SEA's bioeconomy
 Across SEA, grids need upgrading and are not well equipped for renewable energy
Bain · 2025 · problem_statement
Across SEA, grids need upgrading and are not well equipped for renewable energy
6.7% — T&D losses
 A next-gen grid with cross-border connections would lower SEA's decarbonization costs and accelerate the green energy transition
Bain · 2025 · strategic_options
A next-gen grid with cross-border connections would lower SEA's decarbonization costs and accelerate the green energy transition
$6.4 — Net present cost for decarbonizing grids
 SEA’s grids were designed for a different world; key systemic barriers must be addressed to modernize and scale for future
Bain · 2025 · pain_points
SEA’s grids were designed for a different world; key systemic barriers must be addressed to modernize and scale for future
 Systems-level solution | Developing a next-gen grid ecosystem has potential to create ~$25B GDP impact, reducing emissions by ~50 MtCO2e for SEA-6 in 2030
Bain · 2025 · process_diagram
Systems-level solution | Developing a next-gen grid ecosystem has potential to create ~$25B GDP impact, reducing emissions by ~50 MtCO2e for SEA-6 in 2030
$25B — GDP impact
 Case study: India | Reforming and deregulating power markets across generation, transmission, and distribution to attract private investment
Bain · 2025 · case_study
Case study: India | Reforming and deregulating power markets across generation, transmission, and distribution to attract private investment
97% — RE capacity contribution
 Case study: European Union | Leveraging benefits of a regional connected grid for accelerating decarbonization targets
Bain · 2025 · case_study
Case study: European Union | Leveraging benefits of a regional connected grid for accelerating decarbonization targets
€40B — annual savings
 Green clusters create an ecosystem that accelerates private participation and provides proof points to demonstrate economic viability of green power investments
Bain · 2025 · process_diagram
Green clusters create an ecosystem that accelerates private participation and provides proof points to demonstrate economic viability of green power investments
 New zones enabled by strong policy support are developing across multiple SEA countries
Bain · 2025 · geographic_map
New zones enabled by strong policy support are developing across multiple SEA countries
 APAC and SEA | Opportunity to strengthen collaboration for mutual benefits in establishing next-gen power grid; clear economic and carbon incentive to accelerate
Bain · 2025 · strategic_options
APAC and SEA | Opportunity to strengthen collaboration for mutual benefits in establishing next-gen power grid; clear economic and carbon incentive to accelerate
 Investable ideas | SEA offers diverse investment opportunities in grid development, with returns ranging from 10%–30%
Bain · 2025 · comparison_table
Investable ideas | SEA offers diverse investment opportunities in grid development, with returns ranging from 10%–30%
$4-$6B — Market size
 Recommendations | Key steps to accelerate grid modernization and expansion
Bain · 2025 · initiative_list
Recommendations | Key steps to accelerate grid modernization and expansion
 Road transport is a major source of SEA emissions, with emissions expected to rise due to underlying growing mobility demand
Bain · 2025 · industry_trends
Road transport is a major source of SEA emissions, with emissions expected to rise due to underlying growing mobility demand
21 million — Total annual vehicle sales
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