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... with similar savings from a private sector perspective, but with different relative prioritisation among measures
McKinsey · 2012 · cost_structure
... with similar savings from a private sector perspective, but with different relative prioritisation among measures
 Even when the estimated impact of current policy is taken into account, there is significant uncaptured potential both on a 2020 and 2030 view
McKinsey · 2012 · analysis
Even when the estimated impact of current policy is taken into account, there is significant uncaptured potential both on a 2020 and 2030 view
181 — TWh
 In the residential sector, the greatest potential is in switching to efficient appliances and electronics, followed by building shell improvements
McKinsey · 2012 · data_table
In the residential sector, the greatest potential is in switching to efficient appliances and electronics, followed by building shell improvements
14.4 — Electricity savings (TWh, 2030)
 In the commercial sector, owing to the high usage of electricity in HVAC systems, the greatest potential is from building shell improvements
McKinsey · 2012 · data_table
In the commercial sector, owing to the high usage of electricity in HVAC systems, the greatest potential is from building shell improvements
42% — Electricity savings (TWh, 2030)
 In the public admin sector, more than 50% of total potential is captured by building shell and lighting improvements
McKinsey · 2012 · data_table
In the public admin sector, more than 50% of total potential is captured by building shell and lighting improvements
50% — Electricity savings
 As the single largest end user of electricity in the industrial sector, motors (incl. pumps) have the highest potential for electricity reduction
McKinsey · 2012 · data_table
As the single largest end user of electricity in the industrial sector, motors (incl. pumps) have the highest potential for electricity reduction
6.3 — Electricity savings (TWh, 2030)
 Optimisation of low temperature heating processes suggests sizeable potential in the industrial sector
McKinsey · 2012 · data_table
Optimisation of low temperature heating processes suggests sizeable potential in the industrial sector
9% — Electricity savings (TWh, 2030)
 The abatement cost is sensitive to assumptions around 2030 electricity price and discount rate
McKinsey · 2012 · sensitivity
The abatement cost is sensitive to assumptions around 2030 electricity price and discount rate
-181 — Average abatement cost (£/MWh)
 Abatement cost is less sensitive to carbon price assumptions
McKinsey · 2012 · sensitivity
Abatement cost is less sensitive to carbon price assumptions
-181 — Average abatement cost (£/MWh)
 Current and planned policies span all 3 sectors with 7 key mechanisms
McKinsey · 2012 · timeline
Current and planned policies span all 3 sectors with 7 key mechanisms
 Products policy dominates key electricity measures
McKinsey · 2012 · heatmap_matrix
Products policy dominates key electricity measures
121.9 — Abatement potential
 Current policies capture ~30% of the abatement potential covered by the 9 key measure categories
McKinsey · 2012 · data_table
Current policies capture ~30% of the abatement potential covered by the 9 key measure categories
30% — Abatement potential
 Products policy and related instruments are projected to capture ~28 TWh of electricity savings by 2030
McKinsey · 2012 · impact_sizing
Products policy and related instruments are projected to capture ~28 TWh of electricity savings by 2030
28 — TWh of electricity savings
 Building Regulations are projected to capture ~5 TWh of potential savings mainly through building efficiency improvement measures
McKinsey · 2012 · data_table
Building Regulations are projected to capture ~5 TWh of potential savings mainly through building efficiency improvement measures
5.3 TWh — Abatement potential
 Some policies have broad impact; these capture less abatement potential and are incremental to more specific policies
McKinsey · 2012 · data_table
Some policies have broad impact; these capture less abatement potential and are incremental to more specific policies
146 — Abatement potential (TWh)
 The interviews and international experience suggest 11 key findings on barriers
McKinsey · 2012 · diagnosis
The interviews and international experience suggest 11 key findings on barriers
 Barriers can make an investment unattractive or present financing or execution difficulties
McKinsey · 2012 · problem_statement
Barriers can make an investment unattractive or present financing or execution difficulties
 Excluding impact of policies, barriers apply equally across all three sectors
McKinsey · 2012 · heatmap_matrix
Excluding impact of policies, barriers apply equally across all three sectors
 Policy addresses many barriers in the residential sector, but challenges remain in the service and industrial sectors
McKinsey · 2012 · heatmap_matrix
Policy addresses many barriers in the residential sector, but challenges remain in the service and industrial sectors
 Assigning a weight based on the level of impact can provide a sense of the scale of the impact of the different barriers
McKinsey · 2012 · framework_other
Assigning a weight based on the level of impact can provide a sense of the scale of the impact of the different barriers
 Example: previous experience in the US is one input into the barriers analysis (1/2)
McKinsey · 2012 · heatmap_matrix
Example: previous experience in the US is one input into the barriers analysis (1/2)
5.46 — 2020 potential, quads
 Example: previous experience in the US is one input into the barriers analysis (2/2)
McKinsey · 2012 · heatmap_matrix
Example: previous experience in the US is one input into the barriers analysis (2/2)
5.46 — 2020 potential, quads
 High transaction costs on small deals act as a significant barrier
McKinsey · 2012 · pain_points
High transaction costs on small deals act as a significant barrier
30% — Transaction costs as percentage of total EE project costs
 Unlike the US , ownership transfer issues in the residential sector do not appear to pose a significant challenge
McKinsey · 2012 · diagnosis
Unlike the US , ownership transfer issues in the residential sector do not appear to pose a significant challenge
11 — Years
 Commercial and industrial organisations typically seek a rapid payback period of ~2 years, while payback on many EE investments is significantly longer
McKinsey · 2012 · pain_points
Commercial and industrial organisations typically seek a rapid payback period of ~2 years, while payback on many EE investments is significantly longer
2 — Payback period (years)
 Agency issues appear to be a significant barrier in the commercial sector
McKinsey · 2012 · pain_points
Agency issues appear to be a significant barrier in the commercial sector
75% — Percentage of commercial space
 The length of the average commercial lease has decreased significantly, reducing the attractiveness of some measures
McKinsey · 2012 · problem_statement
The length of the average commercial lease has decreased significantly, reducing the attractiveness of some measures
5.3 — Years
 Interview example: electricity intensive users are actively pursuing efficiency measures and are facing diminishing returns from investment
McKinsey · 2012 · client_example
Interview example: electricity intensive users are actively pursuing efficiency measures and are facing diminishing returns from investment
19.4 — Energy per unit of output
 Non-electricity intensive industries may represent a bigger opportunity for electricity demand reduction
McKinsey · 2012 · market_landscape
Non-electricity intensive industries may represent a bigger opportunity for electricity demand reduction
38% — Electricity consumption
 Design options can be split into 8 categories, each impacting a number of barriers
McKinsey · 2012 · framework_other
Design options can be split into 8 categories, each impacting a number of barriers
 We have examined a range of design options used in other countries (1/2)
McKinsey · 2012 · precedent
We have examined a range of design options used in other countries (1/2)
 We have examined a range of design options used in other countries (2/2)
McKinsey · 2012 · precedent
We have examined a range of design options used in other countries (2/2)
 Four case studies were selected to provide insights into market based incentive mechanisms and options to address services sector potential
McKinsey · 2012 · case_study
Four case studies were selected to provide insights into market based incentive mechanisms and options to address services sector potential
 The case studies suggest a number of implications relevant to the UK context (1/2)
McKinsey · 2012 · case_study
The case studies suggest a number of implications relevant to the UK context (1/2)
 The case studies suggest a number of insights and implications relevant to the UK context (2/2)
McKinsey · 2012 · case_study
The case studies suggest a number of insights and implications relevant to the UK context (2/2)
 Key insights from the case studies for design of a market-based incentive mechanism
McKinsey · 2012 · key_takeaways
Key insights from the case studies for design of a market-based incentive mechanism
 Key characteristics of different archetypes for market-based incentive schemes
McKinsey · 2012 · comparison_table
Key characteristics of different archetypes for market-based incentive schemes
 What you would need to believe in order to conclude that market based incentives could address barriers to uncaptured potential being realised
McKinsey · 2012 · framework_other
What you would need to believe in order to conclude that market based incentives could address barriers to uncaptured potential being realised
 The U.K.'s 2010 electricity consumption was 328 TWh
McKinsey · 2012 · segmentation
The U.K.'s 2010 electricity consumption was 328 TWh
328 — TWh
 Current domestic and service demand is driven primarily by lighting and appliances
McKinsey · 2012 · segmentation
Current domestic and service demand is driven primarily by lighting and appliances
65 — TWh
 Motors are the largest single industrial use of electricity in the U.K.
McKinsey · 2012 · segmentation
Motors are the largest single industrial use of electricity in the U.K.
34% — Electricity consumption
 Economic growth and fossil fuel price sensitivities
McKinsey · 2012 · sensitivity
Economic growth and fossil fuel price sensitivities
426 — Electricity consumption (TWh)
 RESIDENTIAL: Demand shaped by reduction in lighting consumption
McKinsey · 2012 · market_sizing
RESIDENTIAL: Demand shaped by reduction in lighting consumption
138 — TWh
 INDUSTRIAL: Demand driven by engineering and vehicles and chemicals industries
McKinsey · 2012 · industry_trends
INDUSTRIAL: Demand driven by engineering and vehicles and chemicals industries
128 — Electricity consumption
 COMMERCIAL: Demand driven by increases in HVAC and lighting consumption
McKinsey · 2012 · market_sizing
COMMERCIAL: Demand driven by increases in HVAC and lighting consumption
110 — TWh
 Impact of game-changing scenarios on U.K. electricity demand
McKinsey · 2012 · scenario_analysis
Impact of game-changing scenarios on U.K. electricity demand
449 — Electricity consumption (TWh)
 Adoption of electric vehicles can lead to an increase of ~5% in total electricity demand
McKinsey · 2012 · scenario_analysis
Adoption of electric vehicles can lead to an increase of ~5% in total electricity demand
5% — Electricity demand (TWh)
 Adoption of heat pumps could lead to an increase of 7% in total electricity demand
McKinsey · 2012 · scenario_analysis
Adoption of heat pumps could lead to an increase of 7% in total electricity demand
7% — Electricity demand (TWh)
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