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Macroeconomic pressure points such as rising inflation, interest rate and naira depreciation may drive additional 13 million people below the national poverty line in 2025
PwC · 2025 · problem_statement
Macroeconomic pressure points such as rising inflation, interest rate and naira depreciation may drive additional 13 million people below the national poverty line in 2025
47.2% — Poverty Rate (%)
 33.1 million Nigerians may become food insecure in 2025 due to economic hardship, high inflation and violence in Northern food producing regions
PwC · 2025 · problem_statement
33.1 million Nigerians may become food insecure in 2025 due to economic hardship, high inflation and violence in Northern food producing regions
33.1 million — Food insecurity population
 The governments conditional cash transfer program and minimum wage will positively impact households, however, this impact may be limited
PwC · 2025 · problem_statement
The governments conditional cash transfer program and minimum wage will positively impact households, however, this impact may be limited
5.2 million — beneficiaries
 Households expect inflation to remain elevated but decelerate marginally over the next 3 to 6 months
PwC · 2025 · industry_trends
Households expect inflation to remain elevated but decelerate marginally over the next 3 to 6 months
63% — Inflation perception
 Key challenges the real sector will contend with in 2025
PwC · 2025 · pain_points
Key challenges the real sector will contend with in 2025
$32.2 billion — financing gap
 PMI is expected to improve signaling expansion in 2025 driven by the impact of policy measures
PwC · 2025 · industry_trends
PMI is expected to improve signaling expansion in 2025 driven by the impact of policy measures
48.9 — Composite PMI
 Businesses expect inflation to taper over the next 5 months indicating confidence in policy actions of the CBN
PwC · 2025 · industry_trends
Businesses expect inflation to taper over the next 5 months indicating confidence in policy actions of the CBN
51% — Inflation perception
 Agriculture, Information & Communication, Trade, Mining & Quarrying, Manufacturing, and Financial & Insurance sectors remain the largest contributors to GDP
PwC · 2025 · framework_2x2
Agriculture, Information & Communication, Trade, Mining & Quarrying, Manufacturing, and Financial & Insurance sectors remain the largest contributors to GDP
79% — GDP contribution
 Finance & Insurance, Information & Telecommunications, and Mining and Quarrying remain the dominant sectors that grew the fastest in Q3 2024
PwC · 2025 · industry_trends
Finance & Insurance, Information & Telecommunications, and Mining and Quarrying remain the dominant sectors that grew the fastest in Q3 2024
30.8% — Real GDP growth rate
 Trade surplus is projected to be sustained in 2025 on the back of increased crude oil production and price
PwC · 2025 · industry_trends
Trade surplus is projected to be sustained in 2025 on the back of increased crude oil production and price
6.95 trillion — Trade surplus
 In H1 2024, oil exports rose to ₦34.87 trillion, significantly outpacing non-oil exports by nearly 14 times
PwC · 2025 · key_takeaways
In H1 2024, oil exports rose to ₦34.87 trillion, significantly outpacing non-oil exports by nearly 14 times
₦34.87 trillion — Oil export value
 Drivers that will shape the dynamics of the key sectors in short to medium term (1/3)
PwC · 2025 · industry_trends
Drivers that will shape the dynamics of the key sectors in short to medium term (1/3)
 Drivers that will shape the dynamics of the key sectors in short to medium term (3/3)
PwC · 2025 · industry_trends
Drivers that will shape the dynamics of the key sectors in short to medium term (3/3)
 Education, healthcare and insecurity are critical social issues to consider in 2025
PwC · 2025 · key_messages
Education, healthcare and insecurity are critical social issues to consider in 2025
0.6% — GDP percentage
 Nigeria's public expenditure on education remains inadequate to effectively reduce the growing number of out-of-school children
PwC · 2025 · problem_statement
Nigeria's public expenditure on education remains inadequate to effectively reduce the growing number of out-of-school children
6,447 — Education spending per capita
 Healthcare spending per capita, and as a percentage of GDP remains significantly below the global average
PwC · 2025 · diagnosis
Healthcare spending per capita, and as a percentage of GDP remains significantly below the global average
6,361 — Healthcare spending per capita
 Security bottlenecks continue to undermine Nigeria’s socio-economic development
PwC · 2025 · problem_statement
Security bottlenecks continue to undermine Nigeria’s socio-economic development
5356 — Recorded incidents
 Defense spending per capita, and as a percentage of GDP is very low
PwC · 2025 · market_landscape
Defense spending per capita, and as a percentage of GDP is very low
1.6% — Defense spending as a percentage of GDP
 Geopolitical shifts, modest global growth and megatrends in transition are critical global factors that could influence the Nigerian economy in 2025
PwC · 2025 · industry_trends
Geopolitical shifts, modest global growth and megatrends in transition are critical global factors that could influence the Nigerian economy in 2025
3.3% — GDP growth
 Easing geopolitical tensions in 2025 may stabilise imported inflationary pressures in Nigeria
PwC · 2025 · industry_trends
Easing geopolitical tensions in 2025 may stabilise imported inflationary pressures in Nigeria
 Artificial Intelligence (AI) holds the biggest commercial opportunity in today's fast changing economy
PwC · 2025 · market_sizing
Artificial Intelligence (AI) holds the biggest commercial opportunity in today's fast changing economy
$15.7 trillion — Global GDP impact
 Nigeria ranks 25th among Sub-Saharan African nations in the AI Preparedness Index in 2023
PwC · 2025 · benchmark_peers
Nigeria ranks 25th among Sub-Saharan African nations in the AI Preparedness Index in 2023
25th — AI Preparedness Index Score
 Technical capacity for reporting and sustainable finance, foreign exchange rate fluctuations, and ESG taxonomy, are some sustainability challenges to overcome in Nigeria
PwC · 2025 · pain_points
Technical capacity for reporting and sustainable finance, foreign exchange rate fluctuations, and ESG taxonomy, are some sustainability challenges to overcome in Nigeria
 The proposed GDP and CPI rebasing may influence the economic outcome in 2025
PwC · 2025 · context
The proposed GDP and CPI rebasing may influence the economic outcome in 2025
 The outlook has implications for businesses in 2025
PwC · 2025 · impact_sizing
The outlook has implications for businesses in 2025
 The outlook for 2025 presents ten broad opportunities to be explored (1/2)
PwC · 2025 · strategic_options
The outlook for 2025 presents ten broad opportunities to be explored (1/2)
 The outlook for 2025 presents ten broad opportunities to be explored (2/2)
PwC · 2025 · initiative_list
The outlook for 2025 presents ten broad opportunities to be explored (2/2)
 Despite non-oil revenue consistently outperforming other revenue sources in budget performance, the high cost of debt servicing continued to erode revenue growth
PwC · 2025 · financial_analysis
Despite non-oil revenue consistently outperforming other revenue sources in budget performance, the high cost of debt servicing continued to erode revenue growth
160% — Budget performance %
 While the country has met its oil price benchmark assumptions in the past, it has struggled to achieve other target assumptions
PwC · 2025 · data_table
While the country has met its oil price benchmark assumptions in the past, it has struggled to achieve other target assumptions
 To address these challenges and enhance economic and governance outcomes in the medium term, the MTEF was developed around key pillars with clear objectives and strategies.
PwC · 2025 · framework_other
To address these challenges and enhance economic and governance outcomes in the medium term, the MTEF was developed around key pillars with clear objectives and strategies.
 The government took some initiatives and legislative actions in the prior year aimed at influencing the fiscal environment. Some were proposed and yet to be implemented.
PwC · 2025 · initiative_list
The government took some initiatives and legislative actions in the prior year aimed at influencing the fiscal environment. Some were proposed and yet to be implemented.
 Feasibility assessment of 2025 budget assumptions reveal a mixed outcome
PwC · 2025 · data_table
Feasibility assessment of 2025 budget assumptions reveal a mixed outcome
 The proposed 2025 budget is set at ₦49.7 trillion, with ₦13.39 trillion to finance the deficit
PwC · 2025 · financial_analysis
The proposed 2025 budget is set at ₦49.7 trillion, with ₦13.39 trillion to finance the deficit
₦49.7 trillion — Total Budget
 Drivers that will shape the dynamics of the key sectors in short to medium term
PwC · 2025 · industry_trends
Drivers that will shape the dynamics of the key sectors in short to medium term
 There are seven strategic imperatives for businesses leaders to thrive in 2025
PwC · 2025 · framework_other
There are seven strategic imperatives for businesses leaders to thrive in 2025
 In reinventing their business models, leaders may consider adopting any or a blend from six business model options to create, capture and deliver value
PwC · 2025 · strategic_options
In reinventing their business models, leaders may consider adopting any or a blend from six business model options to create, capture and deliver value
 Leaders also need to rethink the activities across their value chain to determine the value of activities and rationalise investments accordingly
PwC · 2025 · value_chain
Leaders also need to rethink the activities across their value chain to determine the value of activities and rationalise investments accordingly
 2024 promises to be year of transitions, new normals and reckonings with the consequences of accumulated imbalances
Accenture · 2024 · executive_summary
2024 promises to be year of transitions, new normals and reckonings with the consequences of accumulated imbalances
 Companies must be prepared to navigate GenAI, the lagged effects of higher rates, and growing geopolitical risks in 2024
Accenture · 2024 · executive_summary
Companies must be prepared to navigate GenAI, the lagged effects of higher rates, and growing geopolitical risks in 2024
 Companies remain uncertain over how long recent US economic resilience can persist, and increasingly anxious about geopolitical risks
Accenture · 2024 · context
Companies remain uncertain over how long recent US economic resilience can persist, and increasingly anxious about geopolitical risks
 Most major economies closed out 2023 with sluggish activity momentum, though there was some notable improvement in China and the UK and continued resilience in the US
Accenture · 2024 · peer_benchmark
Most major economies closed out 2023 with sluggish activity momentum, though there was some notable improvement in China and the UK and continued resilience in the US
50 — PMI survey score (50 = expansion threshold)
 The balance of recent data points to an ongoing slump in global manufacturing, moderating services momentum and further cooling of inflation and labor markets
Accenture · 2024 · heatmap_matrix
The balance of recent data points to an ongoing slump in global manufacturing, moderating services momentum and further cooling of inflation and labor markets
 Looking ahead, several cyclical impulses from prior years still have room to run in 2024 and, on balance, are expected to be a drag on growth but supportive of disinflation
Accenture · 2024 · industry_trends
Looking ahead, several cyclical impulses from prior years still have room to run in 2024 and, on balance, are expected to be a drag on growth but supportive of disinflation
 As 2024 progresses, emerging structural forces will exert increasingly greater pull on the global economy, weighing on growth and renewing inflation pressures and volatility
Accenture · 2024 · market_landscape
As 2024 progresses, emerging structural forces will exert increasingly greater pull on the global economy, weighing on growth and renewing inflation pressures and volatility
 Downside risks for 2024 are already emerging, with recent Red Sea shipping disruptions driving up freight costs and threatening to further slow disinflation momentum
Accenture · 2024 · industry_trends
Downside risks for 2024 are already emerging, with recent Red Sea shipping disruptions driving up freight costs and threatening to further slow disinflation momentum
239% — Freight container pricing index change (China/East Asia to Mediterranean)
 A significant growth downshift and above-target inflation due to structural cost pressures is base case for US economy, though upside possibility of a soft landing has increased
Accenture · 2024 · scenario_analysis
A significant growth downshift and above-target inflation due to structural cost pressures is base case for US economy, though upside possibility of a soft landing has increased
3 — US economic scenarios
 Continued stagnation or mild recessions are most likely throughout Europe, with the more energy-intensive and manufacturing-led economies at higher risk of worse outcomes
Accenture · 2024 · scenario_analysis
Continued stagnation or mild recessions are most likely throughout Europe, with the more energy-intensive and manufacturing-led economies at higher risk of worse outcomes
 A tepid growth recovery, constrained by high rates and still-cautious consumers, is most likely for UK, with downside risk that economy gets stuck in cycle of rolling mild recessions
Accenture · 2024 · scenario_analysis
A tepid growth recovery, constrained by high rates and still-cautious consumers, is most likely for UK, with downside risk that economy gets stuck in cycle of rolling mild recessions
3 — UK economic scenarios
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